Why are you twice as likely to be murdered in Los Angeles as in New York City?

Our friends over at The Heritage Foundation have an excellent report proving that the “Red State Murder Problem,” a hypothesis published by left-wing think tank the Third Way, is actually a blue city murder problem. Of the top 30 cities with the highest murder rates, just two have Republican mayors (Lexington, Kentucky, and Jacksonville, Florida) and one is independent (Las Vegas, Nevada).

But buried at the bottom is the perplexing fact that the car-dependent, suburban sprawl of Los Angeles has nearly twice the homicide rate of New York City, the densest single city and greater metropolitan area of ​​the entire country.


The correlation between population density and murder rate is obviously weak upon the most casual and cursory observation of the heritage data. The densest cities in America are New York (29,298 people per square mile), San Francisco (18,635), Boston (13,989), Miami (12,284), Chicago (12,061), Philadelphia (11,933), Washington, DC (11,286), and Long Beach (9,206).

Yet the most dangerous city in America is New Orleans, where despite a population density of just 2,265 people per square mile, residents have a 1 in 2,500 chance of being killed. The other top most murderous cities on the list are Baltimore, Birmingham, St. Louis, and Cleveland.

Is there any correlation between the homicide rate and public transit usage? Also no. Fewer than 8% of New Orleans residents use the city’s public transportation, compared to a majority of New Yorkers and more than a third of Washington, DC, and Boston residents. Birmingham doesn’t even have a subway system.


As the data shows and Soros DAs have proven, Conservatives are not wrong to castigate many of America’s cities as needlessly dangerous, but the problem isn’t their urban nature, pedestrian tendencies, and dense populations. It’s their abysmal left-wing governance, from city officials defunding law enforcement and allowing drug-addled vagrants to hijack public parks and spaces, to progressive prosecutors refusing to punish crimes against people, property, and private industry.

If density were the problem, New Yorkers, who are forced into close proximity thanks to subways and skyscrapers, wouldn’t be helped as likely to be killed in cold blood than Angelenos stuck in traffic. Blame bad governance, not city living, for the country’s crime problem.

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